Van Tran’s questionable number

Squeaking through a tight(-ish) race, Assemblyman Van Tran decided to shore up his support base in the Vietnamese community by pulling an Obama, saturating the Viet airwaves and newspapers over an entire weekend last week.

The spot ad was played on every single Viet radio program, repeating every 5 minutes or so. You turn on your dial to whichever frequency has Vietnamese on it, you blink and there you hear it again.

The same ad was placed in newspapers including Van’s favorite, Nguoi Viet. Click here for a photo of the ad in full.

The ad is a thank-you letter to people who helped Van in his political success. Strangely enough (but very routine for Van Tran), the politicking started with “Dear Religious Leaders.”

Anyway, so the thank-you letter claims that “according to reports by the Registrar of Voters, more than 75% of Vietnamese-American voters from both parties trusted us (meaning Van) in the last election.”

Really? Is Van Tran saying the U.S. is just like Vietnam – where voting is not secret? Is Van Tran accusing the Registrar of Voters of violating ballot secrecy?

Is Van Tran accusing Neal Kelley of tracking how voters voted by race?

And is Van Tran accusing Kelley of being partisan and releasing voting data to his camp before counting is completed and before publishing the Statement of Votes?

There are, of course, ways to derive race-specific voting by matching demographic data with voting results – perhaps enhanced by exit polling and such – but those calculations would not be done by the Registrar.

What’s more revealing about Van’s claim of overwhelming support within the Vietnamese community, though, is that the higher that number is, the lower it means Van’s support in the non-Viet community.

According to the 2000 census as reflected in the official Assembly statistics, Asian registered voters made up 18.3% of Van Tran’s 68th district. That was before Van Tran’s massive and highly successful voter registration drive within the Viet community that propelled him into the Assembly in 2004.

Of the Asian voters in the 68, it is commonly assumed that Vietnamese make up anywhere between 3/4 and 4/5 of them. So, if the number of Asians is still 18.3%, Viets account for somewhere between 13.7% and 14.6%. So, let’s say 14%.

If 14% of the voters are Vietnamese (the number is probably higher now because of Tran’s 2004 voter registration drive), then what Tran is saying is that Viets contributed 10.5% of the votes for him and 3.5% of the votes for challenger Ken Arnold.

As of today, Tran was leading Arnold by 54.2% to 45.8%.

If Van’s 75% claim is correct, that means non-Viets voted 54.2 – 10.5 = 43.8 for Tran and 45.8 – 3.5 = 42.3 for Arnold.

In other words, Van is conceding that he barely got a majority support among non-Viet voters in a district where Republicans outnumber Democrats by 45-35.

All those years toiling on behalf of big business and gun-owner interests, and that’s the thanks he’s got?

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163 Responses to Van Tran’s questionable number

  1. THE Officer says:

    Reserve Officer,

    Please tell me with which PD you work for so that I can file a complaint with your police chief and get your ass fired for conduct unbecoming an officer. Did you not learn in the police academy that passing lies and rumors are grounds for disciplinary action by termination?

    But I’m sure hat you are no reserve officer. Most likely, you are Andrew Do playing keystone cop on this blog.

  2. Jung Kim says:

    Thanks, see I know what I am talking about!

  3. politicalobserver88 says:

    @Water gun machine owner:
    Do not be mad. This constructive comment. I just want my friend, Van Tran, to stop doing stupid things such as showing off that he is armed. He only creates a bad image for him: godfather.

  4. Jung Kim says:

    Andrew Do has non performing rusted law license with couple of stains resembling Janet’s urin drops. Ouch!

  5. Police Chief says:

    Reserve Officer,

    Get off the damn blog or I’d haul you in for discipline for violating departmental policy.

    You are a lawyer (not a good one at that) and a reserve officer to boot and yet, you are so stupid as to make uninformed claims without interviewing any witnesses to back up your statements.

    You are out of your jurisdiction. Get back to san Diego and patrol your assigned area — the San Diego Zoo. I may have to reassign you to Sea World tomorrow!

  6. Jung Kim says:

    Hey Andrew Do……… If I were you I would not leave your happy chick alone! She needs links constantly from anyone or…. from anything. YAK!

  7. Is Li'l Saigon Idiot on the lose says:

    Is Little Saigon’s Village Idiot on the lose again? Gutteral and nonsensical rumbling in the background? What did you say again Reserve Officer and politicalobserver88?

  8. Water Gun Machine Owner says:

    OC Voter,

    You own a water gun too? Wow!!! Please take care of it well. Please oild it every night. If you can’t oil it, please have your spouse oil it for you okay. Make sure it shoots real well. Very important to you and your spouse.

  9. Jung Kim says:

    I feel sorry for disciplining our future crook.. I mean our GG councilman Andrew Do Do!

  10. Jung Kim says:

    Andrew Do Do has all day to blog here under bogus name… a another pathetic honorable wannabe!

  11. Mrs. Little Saigon says:

    Lil Saigon Idiot,

    Are you saying that you are the idiot on the loose? You must be. Please take reserve officer and politicalobserver88 with you. They can be your idiot playmates. Have fun…….

  12. Jung Kim says:

    Who is going to play the woman?

  13. From A Reserve Officer says:

    Man, you guys are crazy. I’m sure my PD values my contribution, and can care less about me giving my opinions to what turned out to be mostly a bunch of nutjobs.

    It’s time for me to hang out with some smart, decent people who’ve been taught well by their parents – my 3-year old son.

  14. Jung Kim says:

    Andrew can be feminine at times…. specially in front of master Janet.

  15. Police Captain says:

    Chief,

    I’ve just reassigned Reserve Officer to the Gas Lamp Quarters in downtown SD. He is full of hot gas and needs to release some. It’s the safest down there. He’ll be fine after Monday when he releases all of his hot air.

    The Department must retrain and retool its reserve program so that our reservists won’t go off the reservation to make wild statements and accusations against other elected officials. This behavior is very unprofessional and must not be tolerated.

    I would like to file a letter of reprimand as the first disciplinary step against Reserve Officer for conduct unbecoming an officer.

  16. Jung Kim says:

    Captain, Can he still be our crook .. I mean a our GG councilman?

  17. Cop and Robber says:

    Reserve Officer should play cops and robbers down in San Diego and leave the adult work up here for real cops.

    This guy knows nothing but he likes to show off. Nobody gives a rat’s dropping about what your PD thinks and even less so with your opinion. Pathetic.

    Go play romper room with your 3-year old. It’s very fitting.

  18. Carpet Bag Checker says:

    Boy, this blog sure put Bolsavik away on this issue.

    Jung kim, me think Bolsavik is your employee. Hehehehe!!!!

  19. Police Academy DI says:

    Reserve Officer:

    I have one pop quiz question for you:

    What are some of the exception(s) and under what cirumstance(s) that a CCW permit holder can display or reveal the weapon to another party or person?

    No cheating and no consultation with your captain for the answer.

  20. Student says:

    DI Sir,

    Reserve Officer and his cohort politicalobserver88 can only throw out unsupported and baseless allegations. When you subject them to mere questioning, they fall apart. That’s why they are labled dumb and stupid by people on this posts.

    That’s the problem with these two because they are just hacks for Janet Nguyen and Andrew Do. They all do things and think the same way. Words like immature and childish come to mind when you think of this lot.

  21. JK Fan says:

    Jung Kim — You are kicking some behinds on here. For these types of people, you have to shame and ridicule them the way you do. They have no sense of self respect. Way to go.

  22. Janet Nguyen Supporter says:

    I am very disappointed with Vietnamese people here. When someone say something about LS Van Tran, friends or workers of LS Van attack like dogs. Even when not that negative. Then they call Ms. Janet Nguyen all these bad names. So disrespectful. The LS Van people do the same on Viet TV and radio too. I am so embarrassed for my people. Non-Viet people who read this site would laugh at us.

  23. Janet Nguyen Supporter says:

    Our community is like crabs in basket. One crab go up basket, other crabs pull down. This is like story with Ms. Janet. Ms. Janet is new leader, fresh, have new ideas. She is new Viet political star. She wanted to do new things. Become a better leader but LS Van want her to follow in line like old times. But this is America. Women can do anything. Bad people – people who blind support LS Van – now want to pull her down. But Ms. Janet want to forget about old things. She already won two races over LS Van people (Dina and Trung) and also LS Do won this time over Trung. Ms. Janet and LS Do want to work with with LS Van, but he still mad and jealous and want

  24. Jonny B. Doan says:

    @Janet Nguyen Supporter,

    Don’t be surprised that there is really only one paid Van Tran poster out there pretending to be a bunch of people.

    Whoever it is, the dude is a loser, posting on a Saturday night near midnight! Get a life.

  25. Jonny Don't says:

    Jonny don’t go around making up stories. I ain’t no paid poster by anyone, least of all Van Tran. Are you paid by Janet Nguyen or Nick the Commie Friendly Le Cong? Fool!

  26. Dumb OC Voter says:

    JN Supporter,

    To follow your argument about Janet and Andrew winning is like saying the evil people keep winning. To follow your logic is to follow the Viet Communists who keep beating the VNCH folks for over 30 years now. So, according to you, they must be good right since they kept winning?

    Here’s your problem: Andrew Do Do and Janet The back Stabber Nguyen won because they cheat, lied, attacked, character assinate and stepped on other people’s heads, including back stabbing. Those are the types of crabs that all Vietnamese should reject and throw in the trash.

    No surprise that you still can’t respond to my Lua Thay Phan Ban characteristic of your favorite back stabber, Janet Nguyen. What do you say about that. I kept asking but no answer. Cat’s caught your tongue?

  27. Truth Hurts says:

    75% or MORE support level for Van Tran i byu the Vietnamese community and the jealousy comes out thick. Keep on groaning. The Tran Team loves it. You can’t touch him!!

  28. dumb OC Votyer says:

    Jonny B. Doan is no other than Andrew the Extinct Do Do Bird. What a moron.

  29. Bolsa Cute Girl says:

    OMG, I’ve been gone for a few days…and I guess I didn’t miss much. More of the same. This is what you get when you allow ugly, short Vietnamese men the opportunity to vent their sexual frustrations…at midnight on a Saturday night! Good observation Jonny B. Doan.

    I’m just glad their venting is not on video where we can see their pimply faces. Yikes! That would be torture.

    Let Dumb OC Voter, JK Fan, and the other ugly, midget bloggers think they’ve “won” or “taken over” this blogsite. It’s good once in a while to let these LOSERS IN LIFE think they “won” at something. Seriously, only losers inf life would post on a Saturday night professing their love for a politician, a fat and ugly one too!

  30. Jonny B. Doan says:

    Bolsa Cute Girl,

    Thank you, I can’t stop laughing! Your totally right. These guys (or maybe just one guy) are real losers in their lives. Probably do not have much going for them in their real lives, and writing on this site is the only place where they can fantasize about winning, being smart and being strong and tough. They treat Van Tran like he some god. Maybe they have homosexual fantasies about him. Pretty gross but I don’t doubt it.

  31. Jung Kim says:

    Jonny Be Dork, when someone wants to be referred as Jonny……… it’s a good sign he is completely lost with use of proper his own body structure as often gays do.

    It works with confused Andrew Do who has learned gross methods of being pleasured ………from gay inmates from his prior work.

    He often enters in a wrong direction when he buys take outs from In and Out burger. Now you know why he has pinky stains in the middle of his pants srrounding his rear crack line area.

  32. Nip Family Member says:

    Bolsa Cute Bitch,

    Welconme back bitch. Was walking the Strip over the weekend in Vegas profitable for you? Kick over the 50%, bitch. we got a deal.

    Did you throw me a Santnaa Gang sign while you were in Vegas? Throw me a sign dawg! We can kick back in Janet Nguyen’s garage. Nah, may be in Anmdrew Do’s backyard in Santana.

    Hey, your new, or is it old friend Jonny Doan, is a funny character. I am laughing at him. He’s talking about homos. Is he from San Francisco? Nip Family wants to make Jonny the Family official mascot.

  33. Jung Kim says:

    Bolsa de Still BK’d Girl………… I have heard you’re filing chapter 11 finally. I guess your $25 specials are not working .

    I dare you to compete with happy chick from F.V………..Andrew Do spends most of his cash renting her milk containers.

  34. Jung Kim Fan says:

    JK– You are one funny dude. Andrew Do and Janet Nguiyen don’t know what to do. Keep going, man. You own this freaking blog!

  35. Jung Kim says:

    Someone had seen Andrew and Janet’s picture together….standing closely together shoulder to shoulder. He shouted ” Hey, No on Prop. 8 commercial! ” I am still thinking ……..

  36. Hahaha says:

    @Jonny B. Doan
    November 23rd, 2008 at 12:47 pm

    What we have here is a real life Scott Pritchard character from the movie, No Way Out…

  37. Hahaha says:

    For someone to fight so passionately and loyally for his leader and accepts material reward…sounds like a sexual conquest. Hope the leader knows this person’s intention.

  38. Ho Ho Ho says:

    Hahaha,

    What type of weed are you using? I’d like to get some of yours.

    Do you mean Janet Nguyen as SecDef and Andrew Do or Nick Le Cong as Pritchard?

  39. Scott Pritchard Jung Kim says:

    @Ho Ho Ho.

    Is Ho Ho Ho another Scott Pritchard in No Way Out working for free for your leader? That is what you guys keep saying. So, WTF? Which is it? Working for free or getting paid. I know you do anything to get a head.

  40. Bolsa Cute Girl says:

    Nip Family Member,

    I just got back from lunch at Urasawa on Rodeo with my friends, business partners and investors. When you guys save up enough money for lunch at this fab place, try the Seabass Misoyaki. Oh, it’s to die for.

    But anyway, glad to hear you guys are happy I’m back, although I’m sad because don’t you losers do anything else? But I understand, when you don’t get a chance to talk to a woman – a hot one for that matter – you get excited, even if it’s just on this blog.

  41. Jung Kim says:

    Hahaha, you must have heard something from Janet……….then we were just young and immature. Janet wanted to know how it really worked and that’s the end of the story!

  42. Bolsa Cute Girl says:

    Nip Family Family,

    Oh, I forget. Sorry, but I have to decline your invitation to hang out in your garage. Just not my style. Especially when that garage is also your bedroom that you share with your parents and 8 brothers and sisters.

    And I’m not into guys who know so much about prostitutes. But I don’t blame you though. When you’re short and ugly, sooner or later, even your hands are running away from you. Good luck. XOXOXO…well, not really.

  43. Jung Kim says:

    I still think Janet can be a good girl when she is not under pressure to control you.

  44. Jung Kim says:

    The woman doesn’t have to be submissive to a man all the time but it’s important for woman to understand that the head of the household should be a man ….ofcourse with the greater responsibilities in supporting the family.

  45. Roxanne says:

    I think Van Tran is still trying to forget what happened to him :

    1. van tran ( urban dictionary )

    one being raped by another girl.

    ** Sorry Jung Kim, your secret is no longer safe w/me

  46. Ho Ho Ho says:

    Is this Andrew Do’s technicolor dream? Who’s talking about raping and pillaging here? So much pent up sexual frustration.

  47. Jung Kim says:

    Roxanne = a man wannabe pregnant woman

  48. Nip Family Member says:

    Hey Bolsabitch,

    Stop erasing my posts stupid. Are you practising communism on me? Who are you trying tyo fool?

  49. Roxanne says:

    dude, get yourself a new insult book. Your lines are getting pretty borrrrrrring !

  50. Jung Kim says:

    Why are you insulted, Roxanne? ……. on Nip Family’s comment?

    Are you a lez. commie hugger?

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